Menganalisis Model Peramalan Terbaik Bagi Menentukan Efisiensi Pengangkutan di Kompleks Pemeriksaan Ikan LKIM Bukit Kayu Hitam, Kedah

Traffic congestion at checking complexes often happen at borders between two countries, especially during peak hours. The congestion at LKIM checking complex in Bukit Kayu
Hitam normally occurs between 12.00 pm to 2.00 pm and 5.00 pm to 7.00 pm. A scientific research to forecast the smooth movement of entry and exit of vehicles till year 2010 and the facilities available were carried out base on the secondary data which was obtained from LKIM and the Royal Custom Department at Bukit Kayu Hitam. The research was carried out by comparing several models in order to get the best method for forecasting. The models used were Moving Average, Weighted Moving Averages, Exponential Smoothing, Linear Regression, Multiplicative Decomposition and Additive
Decomposition Model. The research findings indicate that Regression model is the most suitable method for the purpose. Overall, it was found that the basic facilities and
workforce required at the LKIM complexes are sufficient till the year 2010. The research also shows that base on the data available the movement of vehicles is increasing from year to year.