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Housing bubble phenomena and their determinants in Kuala Lumpur

Aqmar, Hamid (2014) Housing bubble phenomena and their determinants in Kuala Lumpur. Masters thesis, Universiti Utara Malaysia.

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Abstract

Housing could be perceived as both a principal of residence and an investment asset. In the
past 15 years, this asset class witnessed a dramatic increase in prices, especially in the Kuala Lumpur. The rampant increase in house prices has widening the gap between a house's
expected value and its fundamental price. A wide deviation of house price from its
fundamental price could cause a housing bubble, which would have a negative impact on the
financial market. This paper examines the potential emergence of a housing bubble by using
rent to price ratio and employing economic fundamental factors to estimate housing
fundamental value, and take difference between actual house price and fundamental value as
bubble. Based on the time series regression of the economic fundamental factors, shows that
properties in Kuala Lumpur were priced at 4.2% and 11.3% above their fundamental value in
years 2012 and 2013 respectively. This finding also were supported by the simple test indicator of rent to price ratio where the ratio were declining drastically after 2011. With the divergence of market price and fundamental price shows an increasing gap each year proved that housing bubble are likely to appear

Item Type: Thesis (Masters)
Supervisor : Wong, Woei Chyuan
Item ID: 4700
Uncontrolled Keywords: Housing, Bubble, Assets Price Bubbles, Kuala Lumpur, Time Series, Rent to Price Ratio
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Divisions: Othman Yeop Abdullah Graduate School of Business
Date Deposited: 28 Jun 2015 08:26
Last Modified: 14 Apr 2016 03:05
Department: Othman Yeop Abdullah Graduate School of Business
Name: Wong, Woei Chyuan
URI: https://etd.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/4700

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